Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 17.636124 20.109015 22.925327 26.396158 30.594451 35.554887 41.929019
2025-08-03 14.767434 17.956788 21.921439 27.306090 34.579863 44.296361 58.676832
2025-08-10 12.687135 16.057560 20.486608 26.899836 36.246301 49.886948 72.377563
2025-08-17 11.223140 14.645901 19.341343 26.495540 37.591644 55.052285 86.751858
2025-08-24 10.164839 13.606989 18.503030 26.296987 39.068496 60.593604 103.422957
2025-08-31 9.187571 12.549783 17.472687 25.594459 39.527357 64.433869 118.212903
2025-09-07 8.481181 11.802415 16.797834 25.321649 40.603375 69.555378 137.530671
2025-09-14 7.677541 10.828097 15.660021 24.111412 39.770561 70.784061 148.580433
2025-09-21 6.968868 9.938326 14.567036 22.833435 38.586335 71.012371 157.307006
2025-09-28 6.468424 9.332947 13.875332 22.169925 38.463984 73.457627 173.029352
2025-10-05 6.676546 9.864596 15.100814 25.115117 46.098590 95.547086 259.630567
2025-10-12 6.504007 9.757961 15.226049 26.009173 49.614119 108.984871 329.896937
2025-10-19 6.069914 9.198563 14.535937 25.278558 49.502486 113.248263 370.976453
2025-10-26 5.902052 9.078891 14.622223 26.130186 53.292338 130.062057 486.271735
2025-11-02 5.583851 8.674118 14.147356 25.747194 53.988553 137.883878 568.614724
2025-11-09 5.295824 8.301819 13.700145 25.365504 54.616747 145.820404 664.799690
2025-11-16 5.056945 8.000422 13.361300 25.178026 55.728472 155.989597 795.516718
2025-11-23 4.783213 7.618988 12.837990 24.514475 55.410309 160.902985 898.936134
2025-11-30 4.576610 7.347201 12.508211 24.256713 56.202750 170.588736 1069.204250
2025-12-07 4.290558 6.913929 11.829213 23.112626 54.205725 168.193622 1118.836028
2025-12-14 4.016973 6.491255 11.147400 21.903400 51.842396 163.584800 1139.866367
2025-12-21 3.821350 6.204780 10.723426 21.275125 51.159328 166.241772 1259.228727
2025-12-28 3.970048 6.571681 11.654721 24.061540 61.841411 228.444082 2590.465515